Currency Crisis Tracker

Monitor emerging market currencies vulnerable to crisis

Currency Crisis Tracker

Risk scores are based on debt-to-GDP, inflation, foreign reserves, and current account balance. For educational purposes only.

ArgentinaARS
CRITICAL
Debt/GDP: 85%
Inflation: 142%
Reserves: 2.1mo
CA: -3.2%
Sri LankaLKR
CRITICAL
Debt/GDP: 110%
Inflation: 12%
Reserves: 3mo
CA: -4.5%
EgyptEGP
HIGH
Debt/GDP: 92%
Inflation: 28%
Reserves: 4.2mo
CA: -3.8%
PakistanPKR
HIGH
Debt/GDP: 75%
Inflation: 18%
Reserves: 2.8mo
CA: -2.5%
TurkeyTRY
HIGH
Debt/GDP: 35%
Inflation: 58%
Reserves: 3.5mo
CA: -5.1%
South AfricaZAR
MODERATE
Debt/GDP: 73%
Inflation: 5.8%
Reserves: 5.5mo
CA: -2.3%
NigeriaNGN
MODERATE
Debt/GDP: 38%
Inflation: 22%
Reserves: 5.1mo
CA: -1.2%
BrazilBRL
MODERATE
Debt/GDP: 75%
Inflation: 4.5%
Reserves: 14mo
CA: -2.8%
IndiaINR
MODERATE
Debt/GDP: 82%
Inflation: 5.2%
Reserves: 11mo
CA: -1.8%
MexicoMXN
LOW
Debt/GDP: 48%
Inflation: 4.2%
Reserves: 5.8mo
CA: -1.5%

What Causes Currency Crises?

A currency crisis occurs when a country's currency loses significant value rapidly. Common triggers include:

  • High Debt-to-GDP — Unsustainable government debt levels
  • Runaway Inflation — Erodes confidence in the domestic currency
  • Low Foreign Reserves — Inability to defend the exchange rate
  • Current Account Deficits — Persistent trade imbalances

Historical Examples

Notable currency crises include the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, 2001 Argentine crisis, 2018 Turkish lira crash, and the 2022 Sri Lankan default.

Risk assessments are for educational purposes only.